Citrini (@Citrini7) started following @MadThunderdome on Oct 6, 2024

Lesson learned?

https://t.co/p4Xf5azcrM

Orgeron

Coach Oragon, thoughts please... @DavidHarrisAD @Greenwavefb @tulane @tulaneathletics @greenwaveman @TUuptownupdate @ipopstats @Guersmith @NickAnderson14_ @TUGreenbackers @TulaneSportsGuy @TUptownUpdate @FearTheWaveBlog @rolldamnwave @garlandgillen @CoreyGloor @AudubonAndrew

a lot of alpha to be had just by generally being prepared for stuff with a list of tickers tbh

Is Chua more of a dog name or a cat name? https://t.co/jEW9F79yxm

One of the biggest successes of the National Weather Service’s public operations was the evacuation order for Hurricane Katrina. An analysis done in the aftermath found that the explicit language, described as “perhaps the most chilling ever used” (a departure from the past https://t.co/9ZwbiZtrhM

RT @rennyzucker: Spotless small cap balance sheet w growth tailwinds and easy comps coming up for any factor enthusiasts $NTGR

china macro rock opera / chartbook

we used to be a country etc etc https://t.co/mhz29olDg8

Very solid profit outlook on $APOG https://t.co/hUDqQR7b9r

Restores my faith in humanity when I see good books get crazy expensive

https://t.co/0EEkx81xzh

I have thought of the title to the china update piece and let me just tell you guys it’s an absolute banger.

@dampedspring what’s the most asymmetric hedge I can put on rn

Been fading reacceleration in inflation for a while but between strike/china stimulus/very slight potential of middle east crisis(even though nothing ever happens)/trump presidency/jobs are gonna be fine…I am kind of thinking maybe time to hedge that view.

Overall basket up about 60% since putting it on back in mid-late October 23. Still could have just went full port NVDA instead and doubled that but c’est la vie.

Sold some china today. Not a ton. But some.

Most of the content for CitriniResearch is for paid readers, but ~1x a quarter I share trades with all subscribers. Last qtr, that trade was long our China Net-Net ADR basket. Avg return of the names on our list since = +51%. Check it out here: https://t.co/Rgum5DjhhA

Buying FXI when we posted this quick note to the CitriniResearch subscriber chat and selling this morning would have gotten you +10% in 18 hours. https://t.co/vIFSEzMxca

when will get the wave of thematic china etfs? i’d like CHIR back please.

RT @DeItaone: $CIEN - CIENA ANNOUNCES $1B SHARE BUYBACK

>thing gets incrementally better, optimism? but.. >everyone hates thing >everyone posts how thing can’t possibly keep going up >thing goes up more than you ever thought possible you’d have thought this lesson was learned on NVDA but it’s gotta be relearned with china apparently

RT @MikeFritzell: .@Citrini7 has a way with headlines https://t.co/yWzT0NCCKo

what do you mean you didn’t buy even more china on the dip after the chinese draghi moment anon

RT @Citrini7: 𝐎𝐮𝐫 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 "𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐅𝐫𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬" 𝐩𝐢𝐞𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐨𝐮𝐭. The leaves fall, the lattes turn pumpkin spice & CitriniResearch bor…

https://t.co/NThJHDuLgO

“so what do you think on the vice presidential debate” no. stop.

so basically banks rolled out “voice print” just in time for AI models to get good at mimicking your voice exactly?

just asking questions guys. you know, research.

is it just me or are you seeing more breadcrumbs from NVDA’s CEO that he could potentially absolve all of humanity from the sin they are born into and guarantee eternal life? https://t.co/LMFiXSp9K8

Connectivity basket been on a tear since we first published. Outperforming SPX by 11% since 8/15 when we first sent the basket to subscribers. Highlights: $COMM +68% $CIEN +13% $COHR +25% $NTGR +30% https://t.co/IBRWdukld7

𝐎𝐮𝐫 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 "𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐅𝐫𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬" 𝐩𝐢𝐞𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐨𝐮𝐭. The leaves fall, the lattes turn pumpkin spice & CitriniResearch bores you with financial company musings. This time with extra fintech! https://t.co/dRLi8rurSx

nice quarter guys https://t.co/IQkSiWS6Mh

I have lifted the offers that were on the china stocks and which you were probably waiting to buy cheaper Forgive me they were delicious so cheap and so easy

RT @ChrisRinvesting: Chinese brokerages are literally crashing because so many people are hitting the buy button

stocks don’t react well to news: “good news bad action, classic sell signal” stocks react very well to news: “way too far too fast, i’m selling here” when do you mfs ever buy??

what do you mean you sold the chinese draghi moment move in stocks on friday because they went up too fast anon

Interesting article.

I would make this point differently and point out the following alternative view; A large part of what allowed Japan to resist normalization of policy for so long was that China was exporting deflation and therefore allowing Japan to remain in their low rate paradigm well past

Thinking about this guy right now. Wonder how he did vs his benchmark last week. https://t.co/GgHNy7WAuW

mandatory moment of silence for chua you died so this trade could live 🫡 https://t.co/ggWSDgqsKD

RT @VrntPerception: Our consumer pressure proxy is improving, has historically been a leading indicator on retail sales https://t.co/iQTVQz…

Our consumer pressure proxy is improving, has historically been a leading indicator on retail sales https://t.co/iQTVQzcOnf

Shameless plug: If you’re in town for Dreamforce and are interested in tech or product roles at @CapitalOne, come down to the C1 Café in the FiDi today before 4pm I’m running a recruiting event and would love to talk to folks about the seats open on my team and other teams https://t.co/ZOHN6JI3bz

Hey Amazonians, I’m hiring for roles at the senior manager and director levels on my observability team, and we’re only 3 days a week in-office. Slide into my DMs

RT @PeterLakeSounds: Citrini knows https://t.co/KJsnXPjWmK

RT @rennyzucker: @Citrini7 I can’t believe this is how I find about the Oceanliner Europa fire

did you guys know that back in history times stocks used to go down? such a different time. https://t.co/NrY3gntz4L

I hope the people who are short $ESTA don’t cover today. I hope they think they’re being very clever by waiting for evidence of commercialization they think will be lackluster to prove the bear case. It will be so much sweeter to watch them lift the offer at 70 than here.

RT @Citrini7: @binaryprinciple a lesson I learned from an old macro trader: stocks always bottom before the economy bottoms.

HSI low was 40 ticks above my limit buy order https://t.co/sxKusQQKsy

Look at CGB yields tonight. Massive monetary policy - “forceful interest rate cuts” promised. Why would bonds be offered? That’s a hugely bullish continuation signal, imo. All domestic chinese investors have been hiding out in bonds. Yields up as they sell to rotate into stocks

Insanely bullish on chinese milk tbh

the patron saint of the short vol trade

This approach would have saved me a lot of stress over the past year on China.

Every time something seems difficult it strikes me the answer is found by distilling it down to the most basic component and just find the simplest answer for that. https://t.co/GMZxR3nUCK

he’s still a legend https://t.co/OOMW0DuxHv

here comes the hot tepper

what do you mean you didn’t buy more china on the chinese draghi moment anon

It’s above the paywall btw 😉

A trade on my mind rn is our basket of EU & US names with China Exposure, one of 4 baskets in our primer. This could be interesting, especially for those in sectors with solid tailwinds that have big discounts due to China. https://t.co/GD3WCFcZdV

being an oil investor seems exceptionally stressful

no babe it’s ok i like your data dependent rate cuts, the forceful ones scare me https://t.co/v2uAI1RXiu

something you notice about trading is that it is fun & nice to be right but not so enjoyable to be wrong. deep thoughts.

https://t.co/FHzpyitQ9Z

you’ve had two opportunities in 3 days to make 20-25x on friday FXI calls

gonna be a lot of deleted tweets in reply to this lmao